New site for Iran: Nation or Cause blog--https://blogs.acu.edu/coatesn

As of February 12, 2020, my former blog site at https://irannationorcause.blogspot.com has moved to https://blogs.acu.edu/coatesn

As of February 12, 2020, my former blog site at https://irannationorcause.blogspot.com has moved to https://blogs.acu.edu/coatesn

February 12, 2020.  A really good way to lose your job.  “Iran’s information minister apologized Wednesday for posting a photo on Twitter of what appeared to be a Halloween-type costume representing a spacesuit, in an effort to promote the idea of a manned space program for his country. The official IRNA news agency quoted Mohammad Javad Azari Jahromi, Iran’s information and communications technology minister, as saying his department’s advertising team “undeniably made a mistake in choosing the image” and expressed his apologies to “the people and space scientists” of Iran.  [He didn’t even take personal responsibility but blamed the team].  The photo, posted on Jahromi’s Twitter account and depicting what looks like costume of a spacesuit with an Iranian flag sowed on the front, caused a stir on social media, with many Iranians turning to sarcasm and commenting about the fake spacesuit. After his apology, Jahromi removed the photo from his account.  The timing of the minister’s faux pas was also unfortunate. An Iranian rocket failed to put a satellite into orbit on Sunday, the latest setback for a program the U.S. claims helps Tehran advance its ballistic missile program.  The attempted launch followed two failed launches last year, of the Payam and Doosti satellites, as well as a launchpad rocket explosion in August. Also, a fire at the Imam Khomeini Space Center in February 2019 killed three researchers, authorities said at the time.  Jahromi acknowledged the unsuccessful launch in a tweet shortly after the news broke on state TV, comparing it to a “few samples of US launch failures” and insisting that Iran’s space program was unstoppable.  The failed launch had been planned amid celebrations ahead of this week’s anniversary of Iran’s 1979 Islamic Revolution. Iran routinely unveils technological achievements for its armed forces, its space program and its nuclear efforts during this time.”  See “Iranian minister apologizes over mock spacesuit post,” AP, WTMJ, February 12, 2020.

February 12, 2020.  Incredible reporting by Frantzman reveals what most of the press doesn’t cover—the sudden additional pressures on Hezbollah due to the removal of Qasem Soleimani from heading Iran’s terror efforts.  It is so significant to anti-terrorism efforts by multiple countries and to eventual peace that the linchpin of Iran’s foreign policy use of terrorism was removed from the long war against terrorism.  Here’s the story, “Inside Iran’s push to get Hezbollah to take a role in Iraq,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 12, 2020.

“Facebook removes accounts run from Iran targeting Americans,” Donie O’Sullivan, CNN Business, February 12, 2020.


February 11, 2020.  Let the world see again how Iran does not act as a normal country and cooperate in the investigation of a crashed airliner.  “Iran says Canada's complaint over Ukrainian plane crash lacks legal basis,” Reuters, February 11, 2020.

February 11, 2020.  Good news of a sort—not that many people came out for the nation’s founding holiday—only “thousands.”  See “Iranians rally on 41st anniversary of shah's ouster,” AFP, February 11, 2020.

February 11, 2020.  So it’s another statement among thousands by an Iranian official that Israel will disappear, be driven into the sea, destroyed, etc.  How exactly does the Regime expect this to happen?  What does that tell you?  See “Iranian Armed Forces spokesman: Zionist state will disappear from Earth,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 11, 2020.

“Jeers as Weakened Rouhani Calls for Unity in Deeply Divided Iran,” Arsalan Shahla and Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, February 11, 2020.

During the meeting, Egypt told Hamas to avoid supporting any militias that harm the region and expressed reservations about the relationship between Hamas, Iran and the Hezbollah terrorist group.

“Iran taunts US on anniversary of shah's ouster,” Lucie Peytermann, AFP, February 11, 2020.

February 10, 2020.  Note how Pres. Rouhani defended Iran’s missile capabilities, after Tehran unveiled a short-range ballistic missile powered by a "new generation" of engines.  “Our missiles are against terrorism; our missiles are against crimes. We have never built and stored missiles for aggression,” Rouhani said. “We reassure all our neighbors and the people in the region that our desire is peaceful coexistence."  See “News: Iranian President Rouhani Defends Tehran's Missile Capabilities After Reveal Of New Weapon,” Wesley Dockery, International Business Times, February 10, 2020.

“Ukraine Is Pressing Iran for Black Boxes on Downed Plane,” John Follain, Bloomberg, February 10, 2020.



“Ukraine Is Pressing Iran for Black Boxes on Downed Plane,” John Follain, Bloomberg, February 10, 2020.  Bottom line—Iran doesn’t want to admit (again) it shot down an airliner, and then lied about it.  And then to properly compensate for its mistake and lack of competence and professionalism.  This is so outside the norm of international cooperation.


“New Secretive Iranian Nuclear Sites Spark Concern in Congress,” Adam Kredo, Washington Free Beacon, February 10, 2020.

February 9, 2020.  Don’t protest in Iran.  “Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) agents arrested a teachers’ representative at his home in Iran on February 8.  Mohammad Taqi Fallahi is the secretary of the Iranian Teachers’ Trade Association, an independent entity which campaigns for higher salaries, better work conditions and improvement of schools in Iran.  IRGC agents also confiscated some of Fallahi’s personal items during the arrest, including his telephone, computer case and a hard disk.  Agents told his family to remain silent and not talk to any media.  Mr. Fallahi was arrested last May, along with other activist teachers, when they protested outside parliament against low teacher salaries. He was released six days later after posting bail and later received a suspended eight-month prison sentence and ten lashes.  Intelligence agencies and Iran’s hardliner Judiciary have harassed, detained and convicted many activist teachers in recent years. Salaries of school teachers are among one of the lowest for government employees, close to the minimum wage of about $110 a month.  Recently, labor groups petitioned the government to increase the minimum wage, arguing that expenses for food and basic necessities for a family of four is $660 per month.  Teachers have also demanded improvement of school buildings as the government invests little in the upkeep of infrastructure in general. Many school buildings are in dilapidated condition, especially in rural regions.”  See the story at “Iran's Revolutionary Guards Arrest Teacher Activist At His Home,” Radio Farda, February 9, 2020.


“Purge of reformists in Iran election could doom nuclear deal, say diplomats,” Patrick Wintour, The Guardian, February 9, 2020.  This is because hardliners are poised to sweep to absolute power in the Parliament after 90% of the reformist candidates were barred from ballot by the Guardian Council.
February 8, 2020.

"Khamenei says Iran should increase military might to prevent war," Parisa Hafezi, Reuters, February 8, 2020.

February 6, 2020.  Reporters Without Borders says dozens of Iranian journalists have been interrogated, threatened, searched, and forced to close social-media accounts since the Ukrainian passenger plane crashed in Tehran in January.  At least 21 journalists across Iran have been summoned and questioned by intelligence officials working for the IRGC or the Intelligence Ministry.  The Paris media watchdog said “the journalists had dared to express anger after reporting a “state lie” about the January 8 plane tragedy as the truth.”  See “Reporters Without Borders: Iranian Journalists Are Victims Of Jet Crash Lies," RFE/RL, February 6, 2020.



“What does Soleimani's death mean for Afghanistan?,” Javid Ahmad and Husain Haqqani, op-ed, The Hill, February 6, 2020.





“Tensions mount over Iran's probe into Ukrainian jetliner it downed,” AFP-JIJI, Japan Times, February 6, 2020.


February 5, 2020.  Iran continues to hold the black boxes hostage, forcing Canada to announce its indignation as this story shows.  “Canada will press Iran on Wednesday to send the black boxes from a downed airliner immediately to France where the data can be analyzed, Foreign Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne told reporters.  Iran’s civil aviation authority said on Tuesday it would keep working with other countries investigating its downing of a Ukrainian passenger plane last month. Tehran has not released the black boxes.  Champagne said he would be talking to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif about the recorders, the probe and compensation for families of the 57 Canadians who were among the 176 people aboard who were killed.  “We are going to ask that the black boxes be sent to France ... (which) has all the equipment and technical expertise to analyze them,” said Champagne. “We don’t want there to be any more delays so we would like to see that happen immediately.”  Champagne said he and Canadian Transport Minister Marc Garneau met the head of the International Civil Aviation Organization last Friday to ask for its help to make sure the flight and cockpit recorders were sent to France.  “This is a message I will reiterate (to Zarif) ... we judge Iran by their actions, not their words,” Champagne said.”  See “Canada to press Iran to send downed plane's black boxes to France," Reuters, February 5, 2020.


February 5, 2020.  Amid the Guardian Council striking some 7,000 “reformist” candidates from the upcoming Parliament ballot, and with the Iranian Students Polling Agency reporting a survey that showed only 21% of the respondents said they vote in the upcoming election, we see two curious stories.  First, “Iran’s Khamenei defends pre-election purge of Reformists,” Al-Monitor, February 5, 2020, and “Iran's Khamenei Calls for a High Turnout in February Parliament Election: TV Affiliated Website,” Reuters, February 5, 2020.  He wants his cake and to eat it, too.

February 5, 2020.  By “cannot announce,” the President's Chief-of-Staff Mahmoud Vaezi means that it is the responsibility of the Coroner's Office and the Joint Staff of the Armed Forces to make the announcement.  “Rouhani Aide Says Government Cannot Announce Iran Protest Death Toll,” Reuters, Radio Farda, February 5, 2020.


“Iran Frees Jailed Christian Converts,” Stefan Bos, Bos News Life, February 5, 2020.


“Iran Literacy Rate at 96%,” Financial Tribune, February 5, 2020.









“Reveled: The deal made in Iran that brought Iraq's new PM to power,” Suadad al-Salhy, Middle East Eye, February 5, 2020.


“Four stories show that disinformation has a home on Iran’s State Television,” Reza Moradi and Farhad Souzanchi, Poynter, February 5, 2020.



“Exclusive: Iran-linked hackers pose as journalists in email scam,” Raphael Satter and Christopher Bing, Reuters, February 5, 2020.

“Yemen: Houthi affiliates from Iran, Hezbollah killed,” Alı H. M. Abo Rezeg, AA, February 5, 2020.

February 5, 2020.  They are Iran, Pakistan, Turkey, Russia, and China—a collection of successful countries.  “Irania nenvoy proposes new alliance of 5 countries,” Islamuddin Sajid, AA, February 5, 2020.

“What brought Iranian forces to Idlib front?,” Hamidreza Azizi, Al Monitor, February 5, 2020.



February 4, 2020.  Calling a spade a spade.  The IRGC is called out by the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change for being a terrorist organization.  See “Report compares Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to Daesh, Al-Qaeda,” Benedict Spence, Arab News, February 4, 2020.  The news story says, “Western governments and international bodies, including the EU, should designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization, the London-based Tony Blair Institute for Global Change said in a report published on Tuesday. The IRGC acts as an “institutionalized militia,” and uses its vast resources to spread a “mission of jihad” through an “ideological army” of recruits and proxies, said the report, titled “Beyond Borders: The Expansionist Ideology of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.” The IRGC’s interpretation of Islam bears a “striking” resemblance to the extremist teachings of Sunni groups such as Al-Qaeda and Daesh, the report added. The institute published its findings on the back of work to translate training manuals, used and freely distributed by the IRGC online, into English from Farsi for the first time. Its analysis of the material uncovered what it called a “formalized system of indoctrination that seeks to radicalize its recruits with an extremist Islamist ideology.”  Tony Blair, former UK prime minister and executive chairman of the institute, said the international community needs to recognize the role that the IRGC plays in spreading terrorism and extremism. “The IRGC is not simply an arm of the state, it is a body dedicated to advancing an ideology based on an extreme and intolerant distortion of Islam. It is time we recognized this formally,” he said. “Extremist ideology gives rise to violent extremism. Defeating it, and calling out those groups and organizations which promote it, is a vital part of a peaceful and prosperous future for the region.” The report found that the IRGC’s indoctrination process includes promoting a universal Shiite Islamist worldview that it said is “violent and absolutist,” and that “casts both non-Muslims and regime opponents (including Muslims) as enemies of Islam and calls for armed jihad against them.” The report said the IRGC exists as a way of life in the way it spreads edicts on the ideal structure of society, including promoting the subjugation of women. The report’s author, Kasra Aarabi, said the IRCG’s use of the internet to radicalize people is something that tech companies in the West have yet to come to terms with. The IRGC is able to operate “unhindered” by safeguards normally employed to monitor and restrict propaganda by Salafist-jihadist groups, he added. Recognizing this, and moving to prevent the IRGC’s dissemination of material, would be a key component of any strategy by the international community to combat its extremism, he said. “These internal manuals reveal how the IRGC operates as an institutionalized militia, with a formal program of indoctrination that seeks to radicalize its members and proxies in the region with a violent distortion of Islam,” Aarabi added in the report. “As the new evidence in our report shows, the IRGC’s Shia extremist ideology has much in common with Salafi-jihadism and policymakers should therefore treat it with the same seriousness as Daesh (Daesh) and Al-Qaeda.” Prof. Saeid Golkar, an expert on the IRGC at the University of Tennessee in the US, said: “Until now, there has been a void in any tangible evidence put to policymakers about the material and content distributed by the IRGC to its growing number of recruits.” He added: “It is clear from the documents analyzed in this report that the IRGC has a comprehensive and harmful indoctrination system that seeks to radicalize its members with a violent Islamist ideology that will be hard to reverse without a concerted effort.”"



“Iran Upholds Death Sentence for Alleged CIA Spy,” Aresu Eqbali and Sune Engel Rasmussen, Wall Street Journal, February 4, 2020.


“U.S. Embassy Attack Victims Get $1.5 Billion Award Against Iran,” David McAfee, Bloomberg Law, February 4, 2020.

February 4, 2020.  If Soleimani was really about to meet with Saudi officials when he was killed by the U.S., this could be confirmed from hearing from the Saudis (or having some sort of documentary evidence from Iran).  Otherwise, this looks like an attempt by Iran to infer that the U.S. didn’t want peace to be discussed between Iran and Saudi Arabia.  “Slain Iranian General Was Set to Deliver Reconciliatory Message to Saudi Arabia, Diplomat Says,” Reuters, Haaretz, February 4, 2020.




“Why Does Iran Accuse Kuwait?,” Media Line, February 4, 2020.


February 4, 2020.  The “[n]omination of Mohammed Allawi stokes further resentment among anti-government protesters, who seek out-and-out change.”  See “Iraqi shi’ite leader – and, apparently, Iran – embrace PM-designate,” Tara Kavaler, The Media Line, Jerusalem Post, February 4, 2020.


February 4, 2020.  Why vote if they’re all cookie cutter?  And if they are all hardliners?  Not much incentive for the average Iranian.  “Rouhani's Spokesman Says GoingcTo Polls Prevents Islamic Republic's 'Collapse',” Radio Farda, February 4, 2020.  "The Spokesman for President Hassan Rouhani administration has urged Iranians to go to the polls in the upcoming parliamentary elections to prevent the collapse of the Islamic Republic. Addressing reporters at a news conference in Tehran on Monday February 3, Ali Rabiei said "The upcoming election is the most important election in the history of the Islamic Republic. The only way to resist the collapse of Iran is going to the polls." This is by far the most radical comment ever made by an Iranian official about the state of affairs in the Islamic Republic of Iran.  Rabiei promised that the government will do its best to ensure a healthy election. This comes while only two weeks ago, President Hassan Rouhani said all the candidates who have been allowed to run belong to the conservative faction. The Guardian Council has disqualified nearly one third of the current members of the parliament on charges of "financial and ethical corruption" and reform-minded figures have complained that there are very few reformist candidates allowed to run for the Majles in the February 21 elections. This has reduced the choice for voters mainly to the hardliner candidates, with the consequent lack of incentive for people hoping for change to go to the polls. Many voters are already disillusioned with the country's economic conditions and harsh repression of recent protests.  Regardless of criticisms, the spokesman for the Guardian Council, Abbas Ali Kadhodai said on Saturday that some 7,000 candidates have been qualified to run. He said 24 candidates will compete for every parliament seat.  He added, "More than 50 percent of those who registered as candidates have been qualified to run for the Majles."  But according to Kayhan newspaper, during the news conference on Saturday, a reporter from the reformist daily Etemad questioned the Guardian Council's impartiality and said that all those qualified come from the same faction. Kadkhodai said: "This is your opinion and we do not accept that." Following Kadkhodai's defense of the Guardian Council's performance in the vetting, some of the disqualified candidates, mainly current MPs have spoken to the press, questioning the Guardian Council's argument. Ali Motahari, the outspoken MP for Tehran, told reporters that he was invited to talk with Guardian Council members on Friday about his disqualification.”

February 4, 2020.  “There’s a reason why Iranian students in STEM fields are being asked questions and sometimes turned away by U.S. Customs and Border Protection agents.”  See “Iran’s Spy Games Can Turn Deadly,” Peter Theroux, Tablet, February 4, 2020.

“Iran’s Mahan Air Continues China Flights for Days After Ban, Upsetting Some Iranians,” Michael Lipin, Mehdi Jedinia, and Asim Kashgarian, VOA, February 4, 2020.

February 3, 2020.  “Iran to Halt Cooperation With Ukraine in Downed Jet Probe,” Sune Engel Rasmussen and Ann  Simmons, Wall Street Journal, February 3, 2020.  The headline says it all, doesn’t it?  International cooperation to investigate a plane crash is something that Iran will not provide.

February 3, 2020.  “An Iranian court on Monday sentenced eight activists to 72 years in prison for asking the country's supreme leader to resign, local media reported.  The Revolutionary Court in the northeastern city of Mashhad announced jail time for up to 26 years, according to Iran's Human Rights Activists News Agency.  The activists wrote an open letter in 2019 calling on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to resign from his office.  Abdol-Rasoul Mortazavi received 26 years, Mohammad Hossein Sepehri and Fatima Sepehri six, Hashem Khasttr 16 and Mohammad Nourizad 15. Khasttr and Nourizad are also facing a three-year travel ban.  The others will serve a year in prison.”  See “Iran slaps activists with prison for letter to Khamenei,” Mustafa Melih Ahishali, AA, February 3, 2020.  In contrast, members of Code Pink in the U.S. have called for the impeachment of Pres. Trump.  Their freedom of speech rights protect them, and protect them from punishment such as jail.  See “'We Apologize' for Trump's Reckless Aggression, US Peace Advocates Say in Open Letter to Iranian People,” Eoin Higgins, Common Dreams, January 24, 2020.

February 3, 2020.  “As many as 550 protesters have been killed in Iraq since protests began in October, the Iraqi Commission for Human Rights revealed on Monday. Overall figures are likely higher, because the data only begins on October 30 and many protesters were killed in October.”  This information is in “Iranian-backed militias may have killed 500 protesters in Iraq,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 3, 2020.

“Would most Iranians vote no to an Islamic republic?,” Pooyan Tamimi Arab, Ammar Maleki, and Pooyan Tamimi Arab, Open Democracy, February 3, 2020.

“Iranian youth sing to Khamenei: ‘Iran is invincible, Israel is facing its end’,” JNS, February 3, 2020.


February 3, 2020.  The civilian side, intertwined with the IRGC at the control tower, also knew from the start that a missile had been fired.  “Recording shows Iran knew immediately it had shot down plane: Zelenskiy,” Natalia Zinets and Babak Dehghanpisheh, Reuters, February 3, 2020.





February 2, 2020.  “Iran has ‘de-escalated,’ but threat of retaliation remains, general says,” Missy Ryan, Washington Post, February 2, 2020.  The use of force and the threat of retaliation from the U.S. again works to put Iran back into line.  This is a repeated theme over the past 40 years.  The converse is true--that if the U.S. -- or anyone -- does not exercise due diligence and provide deterrence, this Regime and under these two Supreme Leaders takes steps to expand the Revolution.  This article from the WPost tells us, “Gen. Kenneth “Frank” McKenzie Jr., who heads U.S. Central Command, said Iran had “de-escalated” its ballistic missile force and brought its air defense forces back to a “normal state of readiness” following its retaliatory strikes on bases housing U.S. troops in Iraq.”

February 2, 2020.  $80,000 per killed passenger is simply inadequate by any standards.  “Zelenskiy also said that Ukraine still was waiting for Iran to hand over the black boxes of the plane.”  See “Ukraine wants larger compensation for its citizens killed in plane shootdown in Iran,” Reuters, February 2, 2020.  Likewise, see “Ukrainian President Says Compensation Offered By Iran For Shooting Down Airliner Not Enough,” RFE/RL, February 2, 2020.  “Zelenskiy said that Ukraine had yet to receive the recorders, and that Tehran had instead suggested that Ukrainian specialists fly to Iran on February 3 to examine the black boxes.  "I'm afraid that the Iranians might attract our specialists and then say, 'Let's decipher [the recorders] on the spot,' and then say, 'Why do you need the black boxes now?'" Zelenskiy said.  "No, we want to take these boxes [to Ukraine]," he added.”

“Iranians must have 'right to choose' at polls: Hassan Rouhani,” AFP, February 2, 2020.  The president complained in response to the Guardian Council’s disqualification of thousands of “moderates” who wanted to run in the upcoming Parliament election.





February 1, 2020.  My first thought is, "Does Ukraine know this?"  It is my understanding that the President of Ukraine is insisting that the box be removed from the possession of the country that has already admitted it shot down the plane.  “Iran, Ukraine jointly analyzing downed plane’s black box,” Tehran Times, February 1, 2020.



“Iraq Names New Prime Minister Who Praises ‘Bravery’ of Protesters,” Alissa Rubin,” New York Times, February 1, 2020.

“Iran Protests Take Place in Various Iranian Cities,” Mansoureh Galestan, NCR, February 1, 2020.


“Iran uses Friday prayers to bash Trump’s 'Deal of the Century',” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 1, 2020.

“Iran's Trade Took A Major Hit In 2019 Across The Board,” Dalga Khatinoglu, Radio Farda, February 1, 2020.


“Iran uses Friday prayers to bash Trump’s 'Deal of the Century',” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 1, 2020.

February 1, 2020.  President Rouhani, "Although the Iranian people's choice for the establishment was the Islamic Republic, Imam (RA) insisted that the title and political structure of the country must be put to a referendum." He continued, "We send our regards to the souls of all those who sacrificed their lives for the cause of the Late Imam and who were martyred in all stages to date, following the path, logic, and aspirations of Imam Khomeini, who chose courage and martyrdom, the last of whom was Martyr Lt. Gen. Qasem Soleimani. General Soleimani took the honorable path of martyrdom and was able to make a great difference within and across the region and the world."  See “"We’ll definitely continue Imam Khomeini’s path with Leader’s guidance": Rouhani,” Mehr News Agency, February 1, 2020.


January 31, 2020.  Marine Gen. Frank McKenzie, the top U.S. commander for the Middle East, says "There has been an increase in Iranian activity in Afghanistan that poses a risk to American and coalition troops there."  See “Top Commander Sees Increased Iran Threat in Afghanistan,” AP, VOA, January 31, 2020.